Rancho Bernardo (ZIP 92128) Real Estate Market
Current Market Snapshot
- Median sale price in 92128 reached $923,000 in June 2025, reflecting a 5.8% year-over‑year drop.
- Homes in Rancho Bernardo spend an average of 21 days on the market, up from 13 days a year ago, and 154 homes sold—a 12% decrease year-over-year.
- Price per square foot averages about $581–$600, down approximately 6% since last year.
Trends & Insights for Buyers & Sellers
- The market remains moderately competitive, with homes often selling for nearly list price, though with more days on market compared to 2024.
- In early 2025, closed sales were lower and new listings rose slightly, giving buyers more selection and negotiation leverage. Nonetheless, most houses still closed at around 99% of asking price.
- Price-per-square-foot has softened, especially in February where it dropped to around $611, indicating possible shifts in product mix toward lower‑priced homes or condos.
Local Factors & Community Appeal
- Rancho Bernardo is a well‑planned suburban enclave in northern San Diego, known for golf‑course neighborhoods, family‑oriented amenities, the historic Bernardo Winery, and employment hubs including Petco and Sony campuses.
- Excellent schools, parks, and proximity to I‑15 make it a top choice among San Diego families.
Poway Real Estate Market: A Nearby Comparison
Market Overview
- The Poway housing market in June 2025 saw a median sale price near $1.19M, marking a 14.4% drop from the previous year, with homes selling in about 27 days on average.
- Housing inventory around ZIP 92064 was limited, with typical sale-to-list ratios near 1.00, and 5 offers per home on average—demonstrating ongoing competition despite price declines.
- Other data suggests the median listing price in Poway was $1.6M in June 2025, up about 5.4% year-over-year, with per-square-foot pricing around $646.
- Zillow's Poway index places average home value near $1,242,654, slightly down over a year, and pending status reached in about 17 days.
- According to Rocket Homes, the median sold price was $1,133,250 with a 3.0% year-over-year increase, including variability by bedroom count and a marked increase in average days on market.
Poway Real Estate Keywords & Appeal
- The Poway real estate market remains strong in desirability, with large family homes, hiking trails, and top-rated schools.
- Price declines are more pronounced here than in Rancho Bernardo, yet buyer activity remains solid, particularly for well‑priced, move‑in‑ready homes.
Rancho Bernardo vs. Poway: Comparison Table
Aspect |
Rancho Bernardo (92128) |
Poway (92064) / Poway, CA |
Median Sale Price (June 2025) |
~$923K (–5.8% YoY) |
~$1.19M (–14.4% YoY) or ~$1.6M by listing data |
Median DOM |
~21 days |
~27 days (or ~17–46 days in varied sources) |
Price per Sq Ft |
~$581–$612 |
~$646–$676 |
Sales Volume (June 2025) |
154 homes (–12% YoY) |
~28 sold (+3.7%) or decline in pending |
Market Temperature |
Moderately competitive |
Very competitive with multiple offers per listing |
What It Means for Buyers & Sellers
Buyers in Rancho Bernardo 92128:
- Enjoy more options and slight downward pricing pressure—but inventory still moves quickly.
- Look for move‑in‑ready homes to stay competitive in pricing and timelines.
Buyers in Poway:
- Despite price declines, expect multiple offers, so being pre‑approved and decisive is key.
- Homes with modern amenities, good school zoning, and updated interiors remain in high demand.
Sellers:
- In both markets, effective pricing and staging are crucial.
- Rancho Bernardo sellers should note slightly softer conditions—pricing just below comps can yield faster sales.
- Poway sellers can still attract strong offers, especially on well‑priced homes in desirable neighborhoods.
Market Outlook as We Move into Late 2025
Real estate experts forecast moderate price corrections and longer listing durations across 2025—consistent with broader trends of easing urgency and growing inventory. As rates gradually soften, both areas could see renewed buyer interest, especially in move‑in‑ready properties and family‑friendly communities.
- Rancho Bernardo real estate may gently rebound in pricing as demand stabilizes in autumn 2025.
- Poway real estate could benefit from affordability trends and strong school systems, potentially tightening inventory again.
Final Thoughts
Rancho Bernardo (92128) provides a competitive, established market with median prices just under $1M and relatively quick sale cycles. Poway real estate commands a premium—typically above $1.1M—but homes here can take longer to sell and show more year‑over‑year volatility.